Saturday, May 20, 2023

Impact of Demonetization on Indian Economy

 



Demonetization: This term refers to the process of denying a currency unit of its legal tender status. Demonetization in the context of India refers to the NDA government's decision to invalidate the existing Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 banknotes on 8th of November 2016, which at the time represented around 86% of the total amount of currency in circulation by value.

It was implemented in India with the goals of reducing corruption, black money (unreported wealth), counterfeit currency, and encouraging digital commerce. Demonetization had a mixed bag of effects and implications on the Indian economy, which are still up for debate.

Impact and Consequences:

Disruption of Cash-Dependent Economy: Since the majority of transactions in India were cash-based, demonetization had a significant negative impact on the country's economy. Cash shortage brought on by rapid withdrawal of high-value currency notes had an impact on daily wage workers, small companies, and the unorganised sector.

Decline in Economic Growth: The move had a short-term negative impact on India's economic growth. Many businesses, especially small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), faced a slowdown due to the liquidity crunch. Consumption and investment were affected, leading to a temporary decline in economic activity.

Cash Crunch and Cashless Push: The cash shortage resulting from demonetization prompted a shift towards digital transactions and a push for a cashless economy. The government introduced measures to promote digital payments, such as the Unified Payments Interface (UPI) and the Aadhaar-enabled payment system.

Impact on Informal Sector and Agriculture: The informal sector, which heavily relied on cash transactions, faced significant challenges. Agriculture, a sector dominated by cash transactions, also experienced short-term disruptions due to the cash crunch.

Increased Deposits and Tax Compliance: Demonetization led to a substantial increase in bank deposits as people deposited their invalidated currency notes in banks. This provided an opportunity for the government to track and scrutinize large cash deposits, aiming to identify potential tax evaders and increase tax compliance.

RBI's Role:

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) played a crucial role in implementing demonetization and handling its aftermath. As the central bank of the country, the RBI was responsible for overseeing the withdrawal of the old currency notes, issuing new currency, managing the liquidity in the banking system, and ensuring the smooth functioning of monetary policy.

During demonetization, the RBI worked to manage the logistics of replacing the invalidated currency with new banknotes, monitoring the cash supply, and ensuring that banks had sufficient liquidity to meet the demand for withdrawals.

The RBI also introduced several policy measures to facilitate the transition, such as modifying cash withdrawal limits, allowing exchange of old notes, and implementing new regulations to promote digital payments.

According to the recent reports, the RBI, while announcing that the Rs-2000/- currency notes will be withdrawn from circulation, has asked the people to deposit and/or exchange the notes on or before September 30. The exchange of 
Rs-2000/- banknotes into other denominations can be made upto a limit of Rs-20,000/- at a time at any bank starting from May 23 until September 30.

Conclusion: Overall, demonetization had both positive and negative impacts on the Indian economy. While it aimed to tackle issues of corruption and black money, the short-term disruptions caused challenges for businesses and individuals. The long-term effects of demonetization on the Indian economy are still a topic of debate, and its success in achieving its intended objectives remains a subject of scrutiny. 


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